Global change drivers

In 2009 we published Strong Sustainability for New Zealand: Principles and Scenarios. In that publication we referred to major global change drivers that are generally agreed in the foresight literature. The purpose of document attached below is to make short summaries of these drivers available to busy people who would not normally read detailed academic articles.

The drivers are:
  • population change 
  • climate change 
  • price increases for hydrocarbons 
  • water 
  • food 
  • toxins 
  • geopolitical shifts 
  • wide swings in economic activity 
  • technological advances
We are aware that these categories are not unrelated to each other, and that there are other ways of classifying global drivers.

The idea for these summaries was conceived by Dr Robert Howell. Dr Jack Santa Barbara gave considerable help in identifying and asking people to assist. We are grateful for those people who have responded. These are free for further distribution and reproduction but acknowledgement to Sustainable Aotearoa New Zealand would be appreciated.

Note: Summaries for climate change, geopolitical shifts, wide swings in economic activity and technological advances are being prepared and will be posted here as they become available.
Simon Hertnon,
8 Oct 2011, 17:28